The Highest Reported Prevalence: The Saharawi Population
While celiac disease is most famously associated with people of European descent, research has shown that the highest prevalence rates are found in other populations. The Saharawi population, living in refugee camps in the Algerian desert, has one of the highest rates in the world, with multiple studies reporting prevalence exceeding 5%. Some reports even cite rates as high as 5.6% or 6%. This extraordinarily high concentration is attributed to a combination of genetic susceptibility—a mix of Berber, Bedouin, and Yemenite-Arab ancestries—and environmental factors, including heavy reliance on gluten-rich humanitarian food aid. This case highlights how a unique combination of inherited predisposition and dietary environment can create a disproportionately high risk.
The Historical View: High Prevalence in European Populations
For decades, celiac disease was largely considered a disorder of European origin. People of Northern European descent were known to have a high prevalence, estimated at around 1% of the population in Europe and North America. A 2012 study in the U.S. confirmed a prevalence of 1% among non-Hispanic whites. This perception was partly shaped by the early development of diagnostic tools and greater medical awareness in Western countries. The genetic markers associated with celiac disease, HLA-DQ2 and HLA-DQ8, are common in these populations, further fueling this long-held belief. However, as diagnostic capabilities have improved and awareness has spread, the global picture has shifted dramatically, revealing a much wider distribution.
Rising Recognition in the Middle East and South Asia
The notion that celiac disease was exclusively a Western problem has been thoroughly debunked by modern serological testing. Today, high prevalence rates are widely reported in the Middle East and South Asia, areas where wheat is a dietary staple. Studies in Saudi Arabia have shown a general population prevalence as high as 3.2%. In Northern India, where wheat consumption is traditionally high, some studies have reported prevalence rates between 1.04% and 1.23%. The genetic predisposition (HLA-DQ2 and HLA-DQ8) for celiac disease is also present in these populations, and combined with high gluten consumption, this leads to a significant disease burden. The increased detection is a result of more active screening and improved access to diagnostics, unmasking many previously silent or unrecognized cases.
Understanding the Multifactorial Causes of Celiac Disease
While ethnicity provides valuable clues, it's the complex interplay of genetic and environmental factors that determines who develops celiac disease. The condition is not simply inherited but requires a trigger to activate in genetically susceptible individuals.
- Genetic Susceptibility: Approximately 97% of individuals diagnosed with celiac disease carry the HLA-DQ2 or HLA-DQ8 genes. However, these genes are common, with up to 40% of the population carrying them, meaning most carriers never develop the disease. The specific gene variants a person has, and how many copies they possess, can influence their risk.
- Environmental Triggers: Exposure to gluten is the primary trigger, but other environmental elements also play a role, including:
- Infant feeding practices: The timing and amount of gluten introduced into an infant's diet.
- Gastrointestinal infections: Past infections, like rotavirus, have been linked to an increased risk.
- Gut microbiota: Changes in the composition of gut bacteria may affect a person's susceptibility.
 
- Other Autoimmune Conditions: Celiac disease is more common in people with certain other autoimmune disorders, such as Type 1 diabetes and autoimmune thyroid disease, suggesting shared genetic and immune pathways.
The "Iceberg Phenomenon" and Undiagnosed Cases
Despite increasing awareness, a large portion of celiac disease cases remain undiagnosed globally. This is often called the "celiac iceberg," with many individuals having silent or atypical symptoms that go unrecognized. A lack of awareness among both the general population and healthcare professionals, particularly in regions where the disease was previously considered rare, is a significant barrier. This leads to a higher rate of long-term health complications due to delayed diagnosis. The prevalence figures cited, therefore, may still underestimate the true burden of the disease in many parts of the world.
Comparison of Celiac Disease Prevalence Across Ethnicities
| Ethnic Group | Prevalence (Approximate) | Key Factors | Sources | 
|---|---|---|---|
| Saharawi Refugees | 5.6% - 6% | Unique genetic mix, high reliance on wheat in aid | ,, | 
| Saudi Arabia (General Pop) | Up to 3.2% | High wheat consumption, genetic factors | |
| Northern India (Adults) | 1.04% - 1.23% | Staple wheat diet, HLA-DQ2/DQ8 genes | , | 
| European/Non-Hispanic White | ~1% | High frequency of HLA-DQ2/DQ8 genes | ,, | 
| US Hispanics | 0.23% - 0.38% | Lower prevalence than non-Hispanic whites | , | 
| US Non-Hispanic Black | 0.22% | Significantly lower prevalence than white populations | , | 
| Asia (Overall) | 0.6% (Biopsy-confirmed) | Varies significantly by region, increasing with wheat consumption | , | 
Conclusion: A Global Health Issue
The notion that celiac disease is confined to any single ethnic group is outdated. The highest recorded prevalence belongs to the Saharawi population, but significant rates are found across diverse populations, including those in Europe, the Middle East, and South Asia. The disparity in prevalence is a complex puzzle, influenced by the distribution of predisposing genes, the level of gluten in the diet, environmental triggers, and variations in diagnostic awareness. As more research emerges and diagnostic tools become more accessible globally, our understanding of celiac disease's true worldwide impact will continue to evolve. Ultimately, a nutrition diet focused on a strict gluten-free regimen remains the only proven treatment for those diagnosed, regardless of their ethnic background. For more information, please consult a healthcare professional or a registered dietitian.